中国社会科学院的中国海外投资国家风险评级体系(CROIC)从中国企业和主权财富的海外投资视角出发,构建了经济基础、偿债能力、社会弹性、政治风险、对华关系五大指标共41个子指标,通过大量数据量化评估了中国企业在海外投资方面面临的风险。本评级体系试图通过提供风险警示,为企业提高海外投资成功率提供参考。
张明,经济学博士,研究员,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所国际投资研究室主任,研究领域为国际金融与中国宏观经济。曾在香港金融管理局与哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院做访问学者。出版《全球危机下的中国变局》、《中国的高储蓄:特征事实与部门分析》等学术著作,在国内外学术期刊上发表学术论文多篇,并在国内外财经媒体上发表大量的财经评论。,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所国际投资研究室研究员。
Countryˉrisk Rating of Overseas Investment from
China(2018):Main Report?CROICˉIWEP
I. Rating Background
II. Summary of Rating Methodologies by Rating
Agencies
1. Brief Introduction of Country Credit Rating
Agencies
2. Rating Targets
3. Components of Rating System
4. Features of Rating Methodologies
III. Methodology of CROICˉIWEP
1. Index Selection
2. Standardization?Weighting and
Grading
3. Rating Samples
4. Characteristics of CROIC Rating
System
5. Future Plan
IV. Overall Analysis of CROICˉIWEP Rating
Results
1. Overall Results
2. Indicator Analysis
V. Country Analysis of CROICˉIWEP
Ratings
4. Ukraine(↑6)
Countryˉrisk Rating of Overseas Investment from China(2018): Belt and Road Report
Original Data of CROICˉIWEP
Ratio of GDP
Total Foreign Debt
Reserves
Balance/ GDP
Table 17. Trade Conditions
Table 18. NonˉPerforming Bank Loans/
Aggregate Loans
Table 19. Importance as an International Reserve Currency
Table20.Internal Conflict
Table21.Environment Policy
Table22. Restriction on Flow of Capital and People
Table23.Labor Market Regulation
Table24.Commerce Regulation
Table25.Average Years of Schooling
Table26.Public Safety
Table27.Other Investment Risks
Table28. Time in Office(Remaining Years in Office)
Table29.Government Stability
Table30. Military Intervention in Politics
Table31.Corruption
Table32.Democracy and Accountability
Table33.Effectiveness of Government
Table34.Rule of Law
Table35.External Conflict
Table36.Trade Dependency
Table37.Investment Dependency
Table38.Signing of BIT
Table39.Visa Approval
Table40.Investment Block
Table41.Bilateral Political Relations